Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:02:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7c8…cf31
crypto · 543 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$51 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses266 / 276
Open positions1
Markets (closed)542 / 543
History coverage19d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day47.0
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 542 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$99
14 days+$65
30 days+$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 46¢ 50¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +124%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $15 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 193 -7.4% -16.2% 47% 46% -19.7%
≤30d 542 -0.3% -9.8% 49% 49% -9.1%
≤90d 542 -0.3% -9.8% 49% 49% -9.1%
all 542 -0.3% -9.8% 49% 49% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 49% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 48% -17.8%
15% -26.3% 48% -25.8%
20% -33.5% 47% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.54 · official $5.54 (match) · 1423 history records