Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:02:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb7bd…32bd crypto 62 markets active 6d ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$3 (-1%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate52%32W / 30L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day33.5pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 80% −$32
sports 10% +$1
other 5% −$1
world 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-26.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -37.0% -43.0% 36% 14% -53.0%
≤30d 62 -18.4% -26.1% 52% 29% -14.8%
≤90d 62 -18.4% -26.1% 52% 29% -14.8%
all 62 -18.4% -26.1% 52% 29% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.1% 29% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -33.2% 13% -23.0%
15% -39.7% 6% -30.4%
20% -45.6% 2% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
44% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -27% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses32 / 30
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)62 / 62
History coverage4d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day33.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 62 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$8 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $38 −$21 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $36 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $14 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $29 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 09 $29 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 09 $14 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 08 $22 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $14 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 08 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 08 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $16 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $22 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $17 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 147 history records