Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:44:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7bc…e09b
sports · 14 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
−$57 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$279
Realized−$37
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions3
Markets (closed)11 / 14
History coverage6d
Avg bet$173
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 3 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$160
7 days−$37
14 days−$37
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage HEROIC Academy 44¢ 42¢ $247 $233 −$14 (-6%)
Dota 2: Nande+4 vs Noir Esports - Game 2 Winner Nande+4 49¢ 42¢ $27 $24 −$4 (-13%)
Dota 2: Nande+4 vs Noir Esports - Game 1 Winner Nande+4 49¢ 44¢ $26 $23 −$3 (-11%)
Billy Harris vs. Clement Chidekh: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 59¢ $149 $0 −$149 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 37¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 63¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 49¢ $492 $0 −$492 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $632 +$276 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $500 −$492 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $126 +$75 +59%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $18 −$18 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $115 −$113 -98%
Dominika Salkova vs. Martina Trevisan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $127 +$75 +59%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $64 +$206 +322%
Billy Harris vs. Clement Chidekh: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $150 −$149 -99%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $126 −$124 -99%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? Jun 07 $127 +$128 +101%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? Jun 07 $139 +$100 +72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$285
other 11% +$228
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 44¢ $251 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 67¢ $7 9h
Dota 2: Nande+4 vs Noir Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Nande+4 49¢ $28 9h
Dota 2: Nande+4 vs Noir Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Nande+4 49¢ $26 9h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 68¢ $10 14h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 69¢ $314 15h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 69¢ $301 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $500 25h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics Academy 100¢ $201 33h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 37¢ $18 34h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 62¢ $126 38h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $115 2d
Dominika Salkova vs. Martina Trevisan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 SELL Under 2.5 100¢ $202 2d
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W SELL CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 100¢ $267 2d
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 22¢ $53 2d
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 21¢ $2 2d
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 21¢ $4 2d
Dominika Salkova vs. Martina Trevisan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 62¢ $127 2d
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W SELL CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 16¢ $3 3d
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 21¢ $4 3d
Billy Harris vs. Clement Chidekh: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 59¢ $150 3d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 63¢ $126 4d
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? BUY Over 49¢ $127 5d
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? SELL Over 96¢ $239 5d
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? BUY Over 55¢ $139 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +14.3% +3.4% 55% 55% -11.1%
≤30d 11 +14.3% +3.4% 55% 55% -11.1%
≤90d 11 +14.3% +3.4% 55% 55% -11.1%
all 11 +14.3% +3.4% 55% 55% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.4% 55% -11.1%
10% -6.5% 55% -19.6%
15% -15.5% 55% -27.4%
20% -23.8% 45% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $279.33 · official $279.33 (match) · 27 history records