Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7ab…16d0
sports · 430 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$9,100 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9,251 · open −$151
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$7,178
Realized+$9,251
Unrealized−$151
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses292 / 121
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$696
Open positions17
Markets (closed)413 / 430
Avg bet$162
Trades / day352.8
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 17 History 413 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,160
7 days+$4,705
14 days+$9,251
30 days+$9,251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 66¢ 100¢ $3,260 $4,937 +$1,677 (+51%)
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) INOX Division 55¢ 50¢ $1,228 $1,137 −$91 (-7%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 70¢ 100¢ $256 $365 +$109 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 39¢ 100¢ $55 $138 +$84 (+153%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner FURIA 60¢ 100¢ $69 $116 +$47 (+68%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 67¢ 100¢ $60 $89 +$29 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 66¢ 100¢ $51 $78 +$27 (+52%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 51¢ 100¢ $37 $71 +$35 (+95%)
Game Handicap: the bug (-1.5) vs NA, we'd win (+1.5) the bug 93¢ 100¢ $63 $68 +$4 (+7%)
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs the bug 95¢ 100¢ $60 $63 +$3 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 74¢ 86¢ $53 $62 +$9 (+16%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) TheMongolz 50¢ 100¢ $9 $19 +$9 (+99%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 85¢ 100¢ $11 $13 +$2 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 27¢ 14¢ $18 $9 −$9 (-50%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 61¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$3 (+64%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A MARKandLARRY 16¢ 100¢ $1 $6 +$5 (+525%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 49¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 31¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 29¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 38¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 31¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) FURIA 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Map Handicap: Abyssal (-1.5) vs MARKandLARRY (+1.5) Abyssal 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$2 +119%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$2 +188%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $68 +$15 +22%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $302 +$16 +5%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $344 +$95 +28%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $226 −$7 -3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $56 +$3 +6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $721 +$58 +8%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $134 +$40 +30%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) Jun 11 $8 +$4 +50%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $49 +$3 +7%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$1 +46%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5) Jun 11 $316 +$86 +27%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $109 +$56 +51%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $55 +$2 +4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $40 −$28 -69%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $184 +$5 +3%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 +$12 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $130 +$7 +6%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $21 +$3 +14%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$8 -16%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $169 +$32 +19%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $377 +$295 +78%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $103 −$36 -35%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $182 −$83 -46%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $85 −$81 -95%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $201 +$50 +25%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $125 −$23 -19%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $6 +$3 +48%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $28 +$7 +24%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $41 −$8 -20%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $33 +$3 +10%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $414 +$197 +48%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5) Jun 11 $202 +$154 +76%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $68 +$50 +74%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $157 +$22 +14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $125 −$22 -17%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Pla Jun 11 $308 +$42 +14%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $26 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $354 +$108 +31%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $110 +$60 +55%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $131 +$5 +4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $141 +$134 +95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$9,100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 83¢ $27 9m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 22¢ $1 23m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 27¢ $1 24m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 5¢ $1 58m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 84¢ $2 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 79¢ $9 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 71¢ $4 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 71¢ $5 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 70¢ $2 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 70¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 30¢ $9 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 70¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 32¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 29¢ $9 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $7 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 63¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 36¢ $11 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 62¢ $10 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 85¢ $2 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 85¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 52¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 52¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 52¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 52¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 52¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 52¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 52¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 54¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 55¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 57¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 355 +10.5% -0.0% 71% 59% -0.9%
≤30d 413 +11.3% +0.7% 71% 58% +3.5%
≤90d 413 +11.3% +0.7% 71% 58% +3.5%
all 413 +11.3% +0.7% 71% 58% +3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover352.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.7% 58% +3.5%
10% ← realistic here -8.9% 48% -6.4%
15% -17.7% 37% -15.4%
20% -25.8% 22% -23.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,178.48 · official $7,178.48 (match) · 3500 history records