Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:39:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7a7…d3ab
sports · 413 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$10,036 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,562 · open +$1,474
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,623
Realized+$8,562
Unrealized+$1,474
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses193 / 214
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$160
Open positions6
Markets (closed)407 / 413
History coverage241d
Avg bet$408
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 6 History 407 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$538
7 days+$615
14 days−$932
30 days−$1,269
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 45¢ 100¢ $450 $1,000 +$550 (+122%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 20¢ 72¢ $200 $715 +$515 (+258%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Over 3¢ 11¢ $170 $548 +$378 (+222%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Over 8¢ 18¢ $160 $350 +$190 (+119%)
Spread: Panama (-2.5) England 90¢ 98¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+9%)
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) Paraguay 8¢ 0¢ $160 $1 −$159 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $426 $0 −$426 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 23¢ 0¢ $233 $0 −$233 (-100%)
Nets vs. Knicks Nets 2¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Grizzlies vs. Warriors Grizzlies 2¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-17.5) Wizards 51¢ 0¢ $1,544 $0 −$1,544 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Nets vs. Raptors Nets 14¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Grizzlies vs. Suns Suns 28¢ 0¢ $865 $0 −$865 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Wizards Wizards 4¢ 0¢ $434 $0 −$434 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Lakers Lakers 32¢ 0¢ $1,243 $0 −$1,243 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $275 $0 −$275 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1,250 $0 −$1,250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Warriors (-12.5) Pacers 49¢ 0¢ $980 $0 −$980 (-100%)
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline 76ers 56¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Pacers Pacers 17¢ 0¢ $510 $0 −$510 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Clippers Clippers 49¢ 0¢ $1,470 $0 −$1,470 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Celtics Celtics 9¢ 0¢ $388 $0 −$388 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $490 +$295 +60%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $269 −$263 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $123 +$877 +713%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $284 +$176 +62%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $429 −$420 -98%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $348 −$340 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $205 −$200 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $563 +$412 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $104 +$77 +74%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $403 −$399 -99%
Georgia leading at halftime? Jun 05 $1,044 −$1,041 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 05 $104 +$118 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 05 $234 −$17 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 05 $206 +$159 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 05 $207 +$177 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 05 $208 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 05 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 05 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 05 $27 −$27 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5) Jun 05 $300 +$699 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 05 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 05 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 05 $210 −$200 -95%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5 Jun 05 $16 −$15 -98%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5) Jun 05 $200 −$200 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $149 −$145 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 04 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 04 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 04 $102 +$32 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 04 $208 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 04 $78 −$74 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 04 $72 +$1,571 +2188%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $23 +$4 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 04 $291 −$100 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 04 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 04 $314 −$102 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $318 −$305 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 04 $103 +$93 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 04 $207 +$33 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 04 $330 +$205 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 04 $162 +$47 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 04 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 04 $207 +$33 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 04 $515 +$130 +25%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm Jun 04 $286 −$101 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 04 $104 −$100 -96%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 04 $10 −$10 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 Jun 04 $369 −$364 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Jun 04 $237 −$232 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 Jun 04 $14 +$11 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$6,512
crypto 19% −$926
other 7% +$4,451
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 45¢ $427 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 45¢ $23 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $785 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 62¢ $473 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 62¢ $17 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $170 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $0 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 8¢ $164 1h
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 8¢ $164 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $205 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 26¢ $269 6h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 61¢ $284 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 12¢ $118 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 12¢ $5 23h
Korea Republic leading at halftime? BUY Yes 30¢ $429 24h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 17¢ $348 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $205 24h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 57¢ $563 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $29 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $26 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +64.7% +49.0% 56% 56% +10.4%
≤30d 54 +55.1% +40.3% 43% 37% -20.7%
≤90d 60 +59.2% +44.1% 47% 42% -13.7%
all 407 +23.8% +12.0% 47% 44% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +12.0% 44% -7.4%
10% +1.3% 40% -16.3%
15% -8.5% 38% -24.4%
20% -17.4% 35% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,622.80 · official $2,622.80 (match) · 2541 history records