Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7a4…e258
sports · 264 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$55 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$56 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$60
Realized+$56
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses237 / 25
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions2
Markets (closed)262 / 264
History coverage48d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 262 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days+$21
14 days−$20
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $39 $39 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $22 $21 −$1 (-6%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PARIVISION 77¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Kansas City Royals 95¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner 1win $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B REKONIX $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner PlayTime 79¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Grêmio FBPA vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5 Under 94¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner PlayTime 84¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs enjoy boys 23¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Aurora 88¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Tundra Esports 62¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 4.5 Over $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 99¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-25? Yes 77¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs L1ga Team 92¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Enjoy 77¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Liquid 77¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $79 +$2 +3%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $19 −$12 -63%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $25 +$26 +103%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $24 +$23 +94%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $48 +$2 +4%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $47 +$1 +3%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $45 +$2 +4%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $41 +$4 +10%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $39 +$2 +4%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $33 +$6 +18%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $32 +$1 +3%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $32 $0 +1%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $31 +$1 +2%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $29 +$2 +8%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $28 +$1 +5%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethiopia vs. Malawi: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $2 $0 +8%
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $2 $0 +10%
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $2 $0 +5%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 $0 +10%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5 Jun 04 $1 $0 +20%
Andorra vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $1 $0 +21%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Cl Jun 03 $30 −$29 -99%
Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 Jun 03 $30 +$1 +2%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5 Jun 02 $29 +$1 +4%
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 02 $10 $0 +1%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers May 30 $19 −$19 -100%
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5 May 30 $23 −$3 -15%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier May 30 $21 +$3 +14%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5 May 30 $20 $0 +2%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qual May 30 $16 +$4 +23%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner May 30 $16 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner May 30 $16 $0 +1%
EC Juventude vs. América FC: O/U 5.5 May 30 $16 $0 +2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5 May 29 $15 $0 +2%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $13 +$2 +12%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $15 −$2 -15%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $15 +$1 +5%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 5.5 May 29 $14 +$2 +11%
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5 May 28 $15 −$1 -7%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox May 28 $15 $0 +3%
Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 4.5 May 28 $14 +$1 +6%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $11 +$2 +16%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $11 $0 +3%
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $11 +$1 +5%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $9 +$1 +13%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $53 +$4 +8%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $50 +$3 +7%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5 May 26 $48 +$2 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$17
crypto 5% +$5
other 1% +$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $22 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $40 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $8 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 100¢ $82 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 97¢ $8 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 21¢ $7 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 97¢ $79 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $19 7h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 79¢ $52 18h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 64¢ $47 19h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $24 21h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $25 21h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $48 33h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 98¢ $1 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 98¢ $47 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 95¢ $47 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 100¢ $47 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $45 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 84¢ $45 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $41 2d
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner SELL Yellow Submarine 96¢ $41 2d
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 92¢ $39 2d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 84¢ $33 2d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 100¢ $33 2d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 97¢ $32 3d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $7 3d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $15 3d
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 99¢ $10 3d
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 99¢ $32 3d
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 99¢ $0 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +6.4% -3.8% 89% 16% -6.3%
≤30d 129 +0.6% -9.0% 89% 20% -10.1%
≤90d 262 -1.2% -10.6% 90% 15% -9.1%
all 262 -1.2% -10.6% 90% 15% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 15% -9.1%
10% -19.1% 4% -17.8%
15% -27.0% 1% -25.8%
20% -34.1% 1% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.10 · official $60.10 (match) · 888 history records