Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7a3…d4f0
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$18 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses27 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 37
History coverage3d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day18.9
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 66¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 44¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$4 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$14 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$12 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$13 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $6 +$6 +106%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +151%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 +$3 +216%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $4 +$2 +43%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$1
sports 9% −$1
other 5% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +16.1% +5.1% 75% 58% -9.1%
≤30d 36 +16.1% +5.1% 75% 58% -9.1%
≤90d 36 +16.1% +5.1% 75% 58% -9.1%
all 36 +16.1% +5.1% 75% 58% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.1% 58% -9.1%
10% -5.0% 53% -17.8%
15% -14.2% 39% -25.7%
20% -22.6% 25% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.54 · official $7.54 (match) · 104 history records