Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7a2…e144
crypto · 251 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,153 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,149 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$1,149
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses91 / 184
Open positions1
Markets (closed)275 / 251
History coverage22d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day151.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 275 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$376
7 days−$591
14 days−$828
30 days−$1,149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 61¢ 78¢ $25 $32 +$7 (+29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 40¢ 22¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$60 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$23 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $106 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$8 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$12 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$743
politics 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-37.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 -41.3% -46.9% 27% 19% -32.2%
≤30d 275 -31.2% -37.7% 33% 23% -27.6%
≤90d 275 -31.2% -37.7% 33% 23% -27.6%
all 275 -31.2% -37.7% 33% 23% -27.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover151.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.7% 23% -27.6%
10% ← realistic here -43.7% 15% -34.5%
15% -49.1% 11% -40.8%
20% -54.1% 9% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.22 · official $32.46 · 3500 history records