Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:22:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb7a0…f000 sports 200 markets active 3d ago coverage 52d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$161 (+2%) realized +$161 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate54%108W / 92L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day14.9pace
Fees−$136est.
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$97
14 days+$104
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 81% +$21
other 17% +$4
crypto 2% −$8
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +2.4% -7.3% 57% 22% -7.7%
≤30d 190 +0.0% -9.5% 55% 27% -9.2%
≤90d 200 -1.2% -10.6% 54% 28% -9.3%
all 200 -1.2% -10.6% 54% 28% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 28% -9.3%
10% -19.2% 16% -18.0%
15% -27.0% 10% -25.9%
20% -34.2% 8% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$6 · ×0.87 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$161
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses108 / 92
Est. fees paid−$136
Open positions0
Markets (closed)200 / 200
History coverage52d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day14.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 200 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $533 −$18 -3%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $168 +$9 +6%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $11 +$2 +18%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $180 +$21 +12%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $88 −$16 -18%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $88 +$3 +3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $26 +$1 +3%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $14 +$14 +99%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $30 −$4 -12%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $295 −$5 -2%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $118 +$10 +9%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $154 +$32 +21%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $60 −$5 -8%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $91 −$7 -8%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $61 −$1 -1%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $120 +$26 +21%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $73 +$5 +7%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $16 +$1 +7%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $218 +$29 +13%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $52 +$4 +7%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $7 $0 +7%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $41 +$3 +6%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $41 −$1 -2%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $87 +$10 +12%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $81 −$80 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $130 −$2 -2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $81 −$3 -3%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $82 −$2 -2%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $48 −$2 -5%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $40 −$6 -15%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $202 +$20 +10%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 11 $24 −$4 -18%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $2 $0 -3%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $4 $0 -0%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $1 $0 -15%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $41 $0 +0%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $10 $0 -3%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $10 +$1 +5%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $31 −$3 -10%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $10 +$8 +77%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $28 +$8 +31%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $33 +$7 +22%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $74 +$2 +3%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $120 −$26 -22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 92¢ $266 3d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 78¢ $227 3d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 18¢ $250 3d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $306 3d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 33¢ $178 3d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 30¢ $168 3d
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano SELL Jacob Fearnley 75¢ $10 3d
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano SELL Jacob Fearnley 65¢ $3 3d
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 60¢ $11 3d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 50¢ $191 3d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 43¢ $171 3d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic SELL Iva Jovic 36¢ $43 3d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic SELL Iva Jovic 42¢ $29 3d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 45¢ $88 3d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 64¢ $4 3d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 58¢ $4 3d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Dino Prizmic 60¢ $6 3d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 55¢ $6 3d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer SELL David Jorda Sanchis 55¢ $3 3d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 48¢ $2 3d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer SELL Tristan Boyer 59¢ $87 3d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 56¢ $85 3d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton SELL Harry Wendelken 86¢ $26 3d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 82¢ $25 3d
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 61¢ $14 3d
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 52¢ $13 3d
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Marc-Andrea Huesler 59¢ $9 3d
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 52¢ $8 3d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton SELL Harry Wendelken 26¢ $1 3d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 28¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 846 history records