Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T21:29:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5

score

B7 0xb79c…c6f8 other 10 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d

RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! high turnover

Total PnL +$1,007 (+21%) realized +$928 · open +$79

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt +70% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt +36% what you keep after slip

Net edge+36%after slip

Net WR100%break-even

Win rate100%1W / 0L

Drawdown0%max

Avg bet$471per market

Trades / day13.6pace

Kalshi-fit20%portable

Net worth$2,195now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +100%

net ROI/market (all)+54.1%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	1	+70.3%	+54.1%	100%	100%	+54.1%
≤30d	1	+70.3%	+54.1%	100%	100%	+54.1%
≤90d	1	+70.3%	+54.1%	100%	100%	+54.1%
all	1	+70.3%	+54.1%	100%	100%	+54.1%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover13.6 tr/day

realistic slip~11%

edge survives to20%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal	+54.1%	100%	+54.1%
10% ← realistic here	+39.3%	100%	+39.3%
15%	+25.9%	100%	+25.9%
20%	+13.5%	100%	+13.5%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI +70% too few recent

Fragile wins

0% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt +70% · $-wt +70% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries

Win / loss size

+$912 vs — no data

Profit factor

— no data

Copy size

≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$2,195

Realized+$928

Unrealized+$79

Win rate (resolved)100%

Wins / losses1 / 0

Open positions8

Markets (closed)1 / 10

History coverage1d

Avg bet$471

Trades / day13.6

Drawdown0%

Kalshi-fit20%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 8 History 1 Trades

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	12¢	13¢	$1,000	$1,110	+$110 (+11%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$400	$400	+$0 (+0%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$400	$377	−$23 (-6%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$140	$132	−$8 (-5%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1¢	2¢	$50	$55	+$5 (+10%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2¢	2¢	$47	$46	−$1 (-3%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$49	$43	−$6 (-13%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$30	$32	+$2 (+6%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Jun 18	$1,298	+$912	+70%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	2¢	$49	1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	6¢	$103	1h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	1¢	$103	3h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	4¢	$206	3h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	13¢	$513	5h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND	BUY	26¢	$1,237	5h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	0¢	$3	25h
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	BUY Yes	58¢	$1,298	27h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	6¢	$308	27h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	4¢	$206	27h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	1¢	$51	28h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	1¢	$41	28h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	1¢	$31	28h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	0¢	$47	28h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	10¢	$513	28h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,194.88 · official $3,404.88 · 17 history records