Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:37:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb79b…8aae crypto 1682 markets active 0h ago coverage 96d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 96d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$135 (+0%) realized +$135 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate83%1401W / 288L
Drawdown47%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day18.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$17
14 days−$4
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 -5.1% -14.1% 24% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 345 -1.9% -11.3% 20% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1477 -0.2% -9.7% 81% 0% -9.4%
all 1689 -0.2% -9.7% 83% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.23 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

96d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$135
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1401 / 288
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1689 / 1682
History coverage96d ⚠
Avg bet$29
Trades / day18.6
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1689 Trades
no open positions (16 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$5 -121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 2AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $116 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $53 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $300 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $144 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $142 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $37 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $300 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $134 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $141 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $138 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $52 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $165 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $138 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $44 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $164 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $49 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $27 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $35 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $53 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $44 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $100 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET Jun 16 $100 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $116 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $53 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $300 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $142 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $144 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $37 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $300 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $134 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $141 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $138 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $165 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $26 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $138 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $44 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $164 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $49 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $100 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $100 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $100 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $100 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $100 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $100 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $100 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records