Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:08:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb798…37ca
crypto · 1958 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$292 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$94
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1265 / 499
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1764 / 1958
History coverage13d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day169.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1764 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$514
7 days−$455
14 days−$94
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 55¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 57¢ 16¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$500
world 0% +$2
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 708 -27.8% -34.7% 51% 49% -43.4%
≤30d 1764 +5.5% -4.6% 72% 70% -13.0%
≤90d 1764 +5.5% -4.6% 72% 70% -13.0%
all 1764 +5.5% -4.6% 72% 70% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover169.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.6% 70% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.7% 61% -21.3%
15% -22.0% 47% -28.9%
20% -29.7% 31% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.25 · official $2.66 (match) · 3500 history records