Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T15:07:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
B7 0xb792…c49f crypto 129 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$570 (+4%) realized +$570 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate77%99W / 30L
Drawdown72%max
Avg bet$108per market
Trades / day89.5pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$383
other 3% +$19
sports 1% +$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 +3.4% -6.5% 77% 58% -6.6%
≤30d 129 +3.4% -6.5% 77% 58% -6.6%
≤90d 129 +3.4% -6.5% 77% 58% -6.6%
all 129 +3.4% -6.5% 77% 58% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 58% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 28% -15.6%
15% -23.6% 16% -23.7%
20% -31.1% 8% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$21 vs −$55 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.27 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$570
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses99 / 30
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)129 / 129
History coverage3d
Avg bet$108
Trades / day89.5
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 129 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$25 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $104 −$22 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $103 +$33 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $101 −$51 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$23 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$26 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$18 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $102 −$43 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $53 +$4 +8%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $31 +$38 +124%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $30 +$20 +67%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $30 +$14 +46%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $30 −$25 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$15 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$32 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$20 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $152 −$100 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $152 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $151 −$30 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$19 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $37 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $33 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $11 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $9 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $18 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $111 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $25 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $52 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $51 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $49 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 384 history records