Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T23:30:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb792…bc10 crypto 129 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$18 (-4%) realized −$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate57%73W / 56L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day15.1pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$10
14 days−$1
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$14
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -4.3% -13.4% 59% 52% -4.9%
≤30d 129 -11.5% -20.0% 57% 52% -12.5%
≤90d 129 -11.5% -20.0% 57% 52% -12.5%
all 129 -11.5% -20.0% 57% 52% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.0% 52% -12.5%
10% -27.6% 33% -20.9%
15% -34.6% 9% -28.6%
20% -41.0% 8% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses73 / 56
Open positions0
Markets (closed)129 / 129
History coverage24d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day15.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 129 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$23 +443%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 395 history records