trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 22 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $464 | $464 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $208 | $208 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $671 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 25? | Jun 25 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 25? | Jun 25 | $311 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 25? | Jun 25 | $334 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $671 | +$1 | +0% |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 15? | Jun 16 | $267 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 15 | $215 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 5? | Jun 07 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? | Jun 07 | $313 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May? | Jun 02 | $87 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chainlink reach $16 in May? | Jun 02 | $91 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $168 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control O | Jun 02 | $322 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Man on Fire" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | May 27 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week? | May 27 | $271 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be l | May 27 | $325 | $0 | +0% |
| Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15? | May 18 | $667 | +$1 | +0% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 13 | $666 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of April? | May 01 | $296 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of April? | May 01 | $369 | $0 | +0% |
| Will gemini-3-flash be the best AI model on April 17, 2026? | Apr 22 | $664 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 10? | Apr 13 | $664 | +$1 | +0% |