Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:46:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B7 0xb77b…70a5 crypto 1260 markets active 1h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 34d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$34,392 (+3%) realized +$34,392 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%1251W / 9L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown70%max
Avg bet$1,071per market
Trades / day64.4pace
Fees−$47est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 35d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$8,129
sports 3% +$160
other 2% +$211
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 -0.1% -9.6% 100% 0% -12.4%
≤30d 1156 +0.3% -9.2% 99% 1% -9.4%
≤90d 1260 +1.9% -7.8% 99% 1% -9.5%
all 1260 +1.9% -7.8% 99% 1% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 1% -9.5%
10% -16.6% 1% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -24.7% 0% -26.1%
20% -32.1% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 47% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$975 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.29 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$34,392
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1251 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1260 / 1260
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$1,071
Trades / day64.4
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1260 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs The Last Resort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Euro Jun 17 $5,940 −$5,940 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $156 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $374 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $36 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $26,973 +$27 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 16, 5PM ET? Jun 16 $145 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,800 on June 16, 2PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 16? Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 16? Jun 16 $390 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 16? Jun 16 $5,013 +$5 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $145 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,400 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $2,496 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $59 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $140 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $80 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 16, 12PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 16, 12PM ET? Jun 16 $979 +$1 +0%
Ethereum above 1,790 on June 16, 10AM ET? Jun 16 $19 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 16, 9AM ET? Jun 16 $1,788 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,800 on June 16, 9AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,790 on June 16, 8AM ET? Jun 16 $145 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,800 on June 16, 5AM ET? Jun 16 $140 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 16, 5AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,600 on June 16, 5AM ET? Jun 16 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 66,600 on June 16, 12AM ET? Jun 16 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 15, 11PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,790 on June 15, 7PM ET? Jun 15 $77 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,850 on June 15, 4PM ET? Jun 15 $140 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 15, 3PM ET? Jun 15 $145 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 15? Jun 15 $3,901 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on June 15? Jun 15 $195 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Jun 15 $11 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,860 on June 15, 12PM ET? Jun 15 $140 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,600 on June 15, 12PM ET? Jun 15 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,830 on June 15, 12PM ET? Jun 15 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 15, 12PM ET? Jun 15 $26 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,850 on June 15, 12PM ET? Jun 15 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10AM ET Jun 15 $5,474 +$51 +1%
Ethereum above 1,790 on June 15, 10AM ET? Jun 15 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 15, 8AM ET? Jun 15 $140 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,400 on June 15, 8AM ET? Jun 15 $27 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 15, 7AM ET? Jun 15 $90 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 15, 7AM ET? Jun 15 $145 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 15, 7AM ET? Jun 15 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 15, 4AM ET? Jun 15 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 15, 4AM ET? Jun 15 $139 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $36 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $0 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $374 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $12 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $13 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $17 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $20 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $25 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $15 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $34 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $26,973 7h
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 16, 5PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $145 7h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $390 10h
Ethereum above 1,800 on June 16, 2PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 10h
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $140 11h
Bitcoin above 66,200 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $59 11h
Bitcoin above 65,400 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,496 11h
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $145 11h
Bitcoin above 66,000 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 11h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $4,995 12h
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 16, 12PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $979 12h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $5 12h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $18 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.30 · official $1.30 (match) · 3500 history records