Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:43:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb774…b5a4 crypto 12 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%6W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day18.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +5.5% -4.6% 50% 50% -15.2%
≤30d 12 +5.5% -4.6% 50% 50% -15.2%
≤90d 12 +5.5% -4.6% 50% 50% -15.2%
all 12 +5.5% -4.6% 50% 50% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.6% 50% -15.2%
10% -13.7% 50% -23.3%
15% -22.1% 50% -30.7%
20% -29.7% 50% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 40% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses6 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 12 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +128%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +123%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 20 history records