Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T10:51:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb769…c57b crypto 88 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (93 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$81 (-4%) realized −$81 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%86W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day93.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (93 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -12.8%
≤30d 88 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -12.8%
≤90d 88 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -12.8%
all 88 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover93.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -21.2%
15% -26.4% 0% -28.8%
20% -33.6% 0% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$51 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.21 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses86 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)88 / 88
History coverage1d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day93.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 88 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 25 $29 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 25 $29 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 25 $28 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 25 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 25 $27 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $96 −$96 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $28 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $27 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 180 history records