trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -11.9% | -20.2% | 88% | 0% | -14.8% |
| all | 21 | -13.3% | -21.6% | 86% | 0% | -20.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.6% | 0% | -20.2% |
| 10% | -29.1% | 0% | -27.8% |
| 15% | -35.9% | 0% | -34.8% |
| 20% | -42.2% | 0% | -41.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $107 | $107 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | Jun 17 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | Jun 13 | $105 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 12 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | Jun 01 | $105 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | May 22 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17? | May 17 | $9 | −$8 | -94% |
| Spread: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5) | May 17 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 16? | May 17 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | May 14 | $112 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? | May 12 | $111 | +$1 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | May 10 | $108 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | May 08 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | May 04 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 04 | $93 | −$93 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Apr 04 | $93 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Mar 25 | $92 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Mar 20 | $263 | −$263 | -100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 20 | $261 | +$1 | +0% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Mar 15 | $248 | +$13 | +5% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | Mar 12 | $245 | +$3 | +1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Mar 07 | $239 | +$6 | +3% |