Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:06:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb764…a172
crypto · 450 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$163 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$316 · open −$153
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$230
Realized+$316
Unrealized−$153
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses256 / 292
Open positions3
Markets (closed)548 / 450
History coverage3d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day968.8
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$226
7 days+$316
14 days+$316
30 days+$316
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $103 $224 +$121 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 64¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$1 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $117 $1 −$116 (-99%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 10, 12PM ET? Yes 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 8PM ET? No 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 10, 11PM ET? Yes 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 3AM ET? No 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 6AM ET? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-99%)
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 7, 10AM ET? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 10, 7AM ET? No 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 7, 12PM ET? No 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 11, 10AM ET? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 2PM ET? No 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 10, 7AM ET? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? No 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 7, 9AM ET? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 10, 9AM ET? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? No 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 9, 12PM ET? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 9AM ET? No 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 8, 2PM ET? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 9AM ET? No 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 60,400 on June 9, 1PM ET? No 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 6AM ET? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 7, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 +6%
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 7, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum above 1,710 on June 7, 7PM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 9, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 7AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 1AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 7, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 7, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 8, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 6, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 8, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 7, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin above 60,800 on June 6, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 9, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 7, 1AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,710 on June 8, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$917
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $23 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $7 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $18 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $9 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $21 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $9 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $19 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $16 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $16 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 548 -19.4% -27.1% 47% 34% -8.4%
≤30d 548 -19.4% -27.1% 47% 34% -8.4%
≤90d 548 -19.4% -27.1% 47% 34% -8.4%
all 548 -19.4% -27.1% 47% 34% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover968.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.1% 34% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 22% -17.2%
15% -40.4% 12% -25.2%
20% -46.3% 7% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $230.03 · official $215.31 · 3500 history records