Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:30:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb75e…1737
sports · 776 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,978 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,570 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$42
Realized−$10,570
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses304 / 470
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$37
Open positions2
Markets (closed)774 / 776
History coverage246d
Avg bet$125
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 774 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days−$344
14 days−$466
30 days−$419
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 29¢ 30¢ $27 $28 +$1 (+4%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 27¢ 22¢ $17 $14 −$3 (-20%)
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ChickenBurger (BO3) ChickenBurger $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) PARIVISION 50¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025? Yes $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Veronika Erjavec 25¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 13¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) FURIA 45¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Maple Leafs vs. Stars Maple Leafs 35¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 63¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Bucks Bucks 38¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Kings vs. Panthers Kings 43¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) Virtus.pro 18¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffs Lynn Vision 65¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) Oh My God 55¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Panthers Hurricanes 56¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Devils Devils 60¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3) Ultra Prime 58¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines Michigan Wolverines 32¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3) NAVI Junior 46¢ $470 $0 −$470 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SIUUUUUU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO1) SIUUUUUU 44¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3) Washington 30¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Vacherot 36¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Hawks Timberwolves 56¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald Jun 14 $15 −$15 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $37 +$41 +111%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $55 −$54 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $15 +$27 +176%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Jun 14 $15 −$15 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $43 +$23 +54%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $49 +$33 +67%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $27 +$13 +49%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $119 −$71 -59%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $43 +$77 +181%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $42 +$1 +2%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $30 −$29 -98%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $24 −$24 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $22 +$21 +94%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $68 +$39 +58%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $27 −$27 -98%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $12 −$7 -57%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $36 −$35 -98%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $73 −$25 -34%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $47 +$30 +64%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $59 −$58 -99%
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5) Jun 11 $72 −$71 -99%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $57 −$56 -98%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 11 $60 −$3 -5%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 10 $62 −$61 -98%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $70 −$8 -11%
Hubert Hurkacz vs. Marton Fucsovics: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $67 −$66 -99%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $24 −$24 -98%
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 10 $19 +$31 +162%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $8 −$8 -98%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Jan Choinski Jun 10 $50 +$18 +36%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $150 −$148 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry Jun 01 $67 −$66 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Keys vs Shnaider Jun 01 $19 −$19 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $81 −$11 -14%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland Jun 01 $126 +$122 +97%
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland May 31 $50 +$76 +152%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $30 −$29 -98%
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume Munar Feb 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakina Feb 12 $10 $0 -4%
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Feb 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Munar (+1.5) Feb 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolina Feb 12 $25 +$44 +175%
Dallas Open: Tommy Paul vs Jenson Brooksby Feb 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$9,304
other 2% −$1,401
crypto 1% +$222
world 0% −$59
politics 0% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald BUY Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 17¢ $15 55m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 27¢ $17 56m
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt SELL Mattia Bellucci 99¢ $77 57m
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 62¢ $15 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 22¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 68¢ $49 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 39¢ $21 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz SELL Ben Shelton 93¢ $42 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 33¢ $15 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Sofia Kenin 21¢ $15 3h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 29¢ $28 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Katie Volynets 92¢ $8 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Katie Volynets 91¢ $25 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Katie Volynets 90¢ $32 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 58¢ $43 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic $6 3h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 59¢ $49 22h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 25¢ $4 22h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer SELL David Jorda Sanchis 89¢ $40 25h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 57¢ $20 25h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 65¢ $7 25h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 21¢ $48 25h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 49¢ $49 27h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 50¢ $70 27h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova SELL Anna Blinkova 99¢ $34 27h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova SELL Anna Blinkova 85¢ $86 27h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova BUY Anna Blinkova 31¢ $43 28h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Alexander Shevchenko 63¢ $43 29h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 60¢ $42 31h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 30¢ $8 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -33.0% -39.4% 32% 30% -32.9%
≤30d 44 -31.5% -38.1% 32% 30% -30.0%
≤90d 44 -31.5% -38.1% 32% 30% -30.0%
all 774 -6.2% -15.1% 39% 39% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.1% 39% -19.2%
10% -23.3% 36% -27.0%
15% -30.7% 34% -34.0%
20% -37.5% 30% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.65 · official $41.65 (match) · 1932 history records