Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:54:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb75d…75d3
crypto · 1595 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$20 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses766 / 802
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1568 / 1595
History coverage53d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day45.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1568 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days+$48
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 43¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 39¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 56¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 68¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 49¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 73¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 43¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 28¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 55¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 72¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 45¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 41¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 06 $7 −$3 -51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$3
weather 1% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -28.2% -35.0% 27% 27% -33.0%
≤30d 1075 -0.3% -9.8% 53% 51% -9.6%
≤90d 1568 -2.2% -11.5% 49% 48% -10.0%
all 1568 -2.2% -11.5% 49% 48% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 48% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 45% -18.6%
15% -27.7% 40% -26.5%
20% -34.8% 34% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records