Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T09:25:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb75b…a3c9 crypto 40 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (106 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$406 (+4%) realized +$406 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +80% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +39% what you keep after slip
Net edge+39%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%21W / 19L
Whale WR29%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$259per market
Trades / day106.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$629
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (106 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+63.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +80.1% +63.0% 52% 52% -15.0%
≤30d 40 +80.1% +63.0% 52% 52% -15.0%
≤90d 40 +80.1% +63.0% 52% 52% -15.0%
all 40 +80.1% +63.0% 52% 52% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover106.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +63.0% 52% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here +47.4% 52% -23.1%
15% +33.1% 50% -30.6%
20% +20.1% 48% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 67% · top 2 90% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +80% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 29% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +76% → late +84% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
13.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$263 vs −$324 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$406
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses21 / 19
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage5d
Avg bet$259
Trades / day106.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 40 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $1,256 +$1,244 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $4,003 −$2,804 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $1,197 −$897 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 27 $728 −$728 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 27 $1,287 −$987 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 27 $575 −$575 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $884 +$3,716 +420%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 24 $40 −$13 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 24 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $14 +$32 +227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $7 +$21 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 24 $16 +$39 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 24 $17 +$49 +294%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 23 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 23 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$8 +317%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 23 $27 +$72 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $13 +$20 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$20 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $17 +$28 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $14 +$13 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $9 +$36 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 23 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $21 +$54 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $13 +$47 +365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 22 $7 +$23 +344%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 22 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 22 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 22 $13 +$47 +365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $11 +$34 +322%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 22 $12 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $236 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $259 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $152 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $153 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $146 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $139 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $149 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $144 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $145 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $153 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $151 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $146 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $153 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $151 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $153 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $151 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $151 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $146 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $131 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $99 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 571 history records