Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb738…a483
crypto · 461 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,122 -74%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,121 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$59
Realized−$4,121
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses122 / 398
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions15
Markets (closed)520 / 461
Avg bet$12
Trades / day243.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 15 History 520 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,378
7 days−$3,379
14 days−$4,121
30 days−$4,121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Dalila Jakupovic Iva Primorac 59¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+68%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Caijsa Hennemann 33¢ 85¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+155%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 24¢ 42¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+75%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 29¢ 32¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+10%)
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Doosan Bears 46¢ 45¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 45¢ 42¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Martina Colmegna Martina Colmegna 20¢ 14¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-28%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 39¢ 40¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
ITF Zagreb: Mia Ristic vs Elina Avanesyan Elina Avanesyan 50¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+99%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Alexander Shevchenko 42¢ 82¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+96%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino 50¢ 98¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+96%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 65¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 50¢ 88¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 70¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-18%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Tristan Boyer 37¢ 60¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Lotte Giants 63¢ 96¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+53%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 28¢ 18¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-34%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 54¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+26%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SSG Landers 52¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Maxim Mrva 47¢ 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-63%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Marie Bouzkova 41¢ 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-70%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Zhizhen Zhang 27¢ 2¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-93%)
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Dalila Jakupovic Dalila Jakupovic 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $140 −$140 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $183 −$183 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$617
sports 26% −$79
other 1% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Martina Colmegna BUY Martina Colmegna 16¢ $1 7m
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Martina Colmegna BUY Martina Colmegna 17¢ $1 7m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 31¢ $1 9m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 41¢ $1 19m
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Dalila Jakupovic BUY Dalila Jakupovic 12¢ $1 19m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 54¢ $1 20m
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Dalila Jakupovic BUY Iva Primorac 81¢ $1 20m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann BUY Caijsa Hennemann 32¢ $1 31m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 37¢ $1 34m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 72¢ $1 35m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 20¢ $1 35m
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Martina Colmegna BUY Martina Colmegna 31¢ $1 36m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 47¢ $1 39m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann BUY Caijsa Hennemann 35¢ $1 39m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann BUY Caijsa Hennemann 33¢ $1 43m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 24¢ $1 44m
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY SSG Landers 52¢ $1 44m
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Doosan Bears 46¢ $1 47m
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Doosan Bears 46¢ $1 47m
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Doosan Bears 46¢ $1 47m
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Doosan Bears 46¢ $1 48m
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Doosan Bears 46¢ $1 48m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 20¢ $1 48m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 25¢ $1 49m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 22¢ $1 50m
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY Lotte Giants 63¢ $1 55m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 33¢ $1 55m
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic BUY Alen Mujakic 10¢ $1 55m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 33¢ $1 55m
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic BUY Alen Mujakic 12¢ $1 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-31.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 -46.1% -51.2% 25% 21% -81.8%
≤30d 520 -24.6% -31.8% 23% 22% -52.3%
≤90d 520 -24.6% -31.8% 23% 22% -52.3%
all 520 -24.6% -31.8% 23% 22% -52.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover243.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.8% 22% -52.3%
10% ← realistic here -38.3% 20% -56.8%
15% -44.3% 20% -61.0%
20% -49.7% 18% -64.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.34 · official $59.35 (match) · 3500 history records