Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:40:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb730…c9d7
crypto · 920 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$104 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$104 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$104
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses735 / 184
Open positions1
Markets (closed)919 / 920
History coverage29d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day62.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 919 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$19
14 days−$19
30 days−$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 45¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 57¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$8 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -11.0% -19.5% 67% 36% -12.7%
≤30d 919 -5.2% -14.2% 80% 26% -12.1%
≤90d 919 -5.2% -14.2% 80% 26% -12.1%
all 919 -5.2% -14.2% 80% 26% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 26% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 13% -20.5%
15% -29.9% 5% -28.2%
20% -36.8% 2% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $1.98 (match) · 2070 history records