Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb72f…be48
sports · 14 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$27
Realized−$11
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses3 / 6
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)9 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day71.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 5 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Guido Justo 83¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+19%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 49¢ 50¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 77¢ 78¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Laura Samson 65¢ 66¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Over 20¢ 22¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 39¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Thiago Cigarran 18¢ $7 $0 −$6 (-97%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $10 −$3 -31%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $2 −$1 -23%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $3 −$1 -16%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $3 −$2 -56%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $8 −$5 -57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$18
other 19% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 3m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 69¢ $1 3m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $1 3m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $1 3m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 49¢ $1 3m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 49¢ $1 3m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 49¢ $1 3m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 49¢ $1 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $1 8m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $1 11m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $1 11m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $1 11m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $1 11m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $1 11m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 11m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 39¢ $1 38m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 62¢ $1 38m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 14¢ $1 41m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 14¢ $1 41m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 91¢ $1 48m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 21¢ $1 56m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 81¢ $1 56m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 81¢ $1 56m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 21¢ $1 56m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 20¢ $1 56m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 81¢ $1 56m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 81¢ $1 56m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 20¢ $1 56m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 83¢ $1 58m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 85¢ $1 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-32.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -24.8% -32.0% 33% 22% -32.1%
≤30d 9 -24.8% -32.0% 33% 22% -32.1%
≤90d 9 -24.8% -32.0% 33% 22% -32.1%
all 9 -24.8% -32.0% 33% 22% -32.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.0% 22% -32.1%
10% ← realistic here -38.5% 11% -38.6%
15% -44.4% 11% -44.5%
20% -49.9% 0% -49.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.76 · official $26.76 (match) · 80 history records