Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:48:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B7 0xb72b…f89c crypto 1744 markets active 4d ago coverage 36d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 36d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$3 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate95%1659W / 85L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day48.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$4
14 days+$0
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 -1.1% -10.5% 91% 23% -10.5%
≤30d 1705 -0.2% -9.7% 95% 4% -9.7%
≤90d 1744 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 4% -9.7%
all 1744 -0.3% -9.8% 95% 4% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 4% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 1% -18.4%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1659 / 85
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1744 / 1744
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day48.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1744 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records