trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 33 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 55% | 52% | -17.8% |
| ≤30d | 70 | +3.5% | -6.3% | 56% | 49% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 70 | +3.5% | -6.3% | 56% | 49% | -9.5% |
| all | 72 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 57% | 50% | +13.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -5.4% | 50% | +13.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -14.4% | 47% | +2.6% |
| 15% | -22.7% | 42% | -7.3% |
| 20% | -30.3% | 28% | -16.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June? | No | 85¢ | 80¢ | $11,915 | $11,200 | −$715 (-6%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | No | 73¢ | 79¢ | $2,927 | $3,158 | +$231 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Jun 28 | $607 | +$410 | +67% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 28 | $1,010 | +$483 | +48% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 27 | $1,010 | +$483 | +48% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $812 | −$800 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $2,633 | +$1,850 | +70% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $2,631 | +$1,702 | +65% |
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $2,427 | +$1,446 | +60% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $1,008 | +$364 | +36% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $7,887 | −$5,496 | -70% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-3.5) | Jun 26 | $8,989 | −$7,883 | -88% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Jun 26 | $497 | −$239 | -48% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $1,123 | −$606 | -54% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $446 | −$438 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $4,058 | −$979 | -24% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $1,021 | −$78 | -8% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $810 | +$593 | +73% |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $245 | −$240 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $810 | −$689 | -85% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $1,015 | +$985 | +97% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $1,011 | −$690 | -68% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $849 | +$484 | +57% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $1,010 | +$505 | +50% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $479 | +$864 | +180% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $5,543 | +$98 | +2% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $478 | −$349 | -73% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $495 | +$226 | +46% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $377 | −$370 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $692 | −$321 | -46% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $1,018 | +$1,482 | +146% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $1,985 | +$1,453 | +73% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $2,509 | +$727 | +29% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $409 | −$400 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $959 | +$438 | +46% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $492 | −$484 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $1,012 | −$670 | -66% |
| Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $306 | −$200 | -65% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $508 | +$628 | +124% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $516 | +$281 | +55% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $82 | −$80 | -97% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 21 | $1,514 | −$1,500 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $7,065 | +$3,080 | +44% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $2,646 | +$3,695 | +140% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $2,019 | −$659 | -33% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $203 | +$214 | +106% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $406 | +$349 | +86% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $605 | +$206 | +34% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1,012 | +$683 | +67% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $1,015 | −$544 | -54% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $5,967 | +$3,549 | +60% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $2,504 | −$2,486 | -99% |