Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb729…dc94
other · 256 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$84 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$84
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses17 / 239
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)256 / 256
Avg bet$220
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 256 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$13
14 days−$22
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 12 $188 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $320 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $616 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $397 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 11 $495 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $142 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $141 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $494 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $340 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $596 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $256 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $67 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $531 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $552 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $326 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $145 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $137 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $323 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $146 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $884 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $535 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $68 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $673 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $219 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $142 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $277 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $447 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $607 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $362 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 04 $231 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $255 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $230 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $483 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $165 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $640 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 01 $366 +$1 +0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $461 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $272 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 31 $363 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $72 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $150 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 30 $511 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 29 $149 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $449 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $402 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 28 $586 −$2 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $272 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 26 $239 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 25 $480 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 25 $235 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$34
sports 28% −$19
politics 9% −$7
economics 7% −$7
culture 6% −$8
crypto 5% −$4
world 4% −$5
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 99¢ $66 22m
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $66 1h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $66 7h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $66 9h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $66 20h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $66 21h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $66 24h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $66 26h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $66 27h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $66 29h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $66 33h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $66 34h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $66 37h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $66 39h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $67 47h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $67 2d
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $16 2d
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $50 2d
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $67 3d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $67 3d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $67 3d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $67 3d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $67 3d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $67 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 65 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 181 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
all 256 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1333 history records