Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T22:36:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B7 0xb720…0898 crypto 920 markets active 1h ago coverage 49d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$2,331 (-4%) realized −$2,331 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate58%536W / 384L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$66per market
Trades / day37.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$181
7 days−$181
14 days−$181
30 days−$1,294
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3,907
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -10.6% -19.1% 50% 38% -42.6%
≤30d 88 -34.0% -40.2% 42% 35% -23.5%
≤90d 920 -5.8% -14.8% 58% 50% -15.3%
all 920 -5.8% -14.8% 58% 50% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 50% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 39% -23.4%
15% -30.4% 27% -30.8%
20% -37.2% 19% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$37 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

49d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,331
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses536 / 384
Open positions0
Markets (closed)920 / 920
History coverage49d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 920 Trades
no open positions (160 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$12 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$26 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$27 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 20 $104 −$39 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 20 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 22 $17 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 22 $156 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 22 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 22 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 22 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 22 $52 +$52 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 22 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 22 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 22 $26 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 22 $104 +$45 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 22 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 22 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 22 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 22 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 22 $319 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 22 $103 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 22 $277 +$350 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 22 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 22 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 22 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 22 $206 +$136 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 22 $58 −$56 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 22 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 22 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 22 $130 −$25 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 22 $103 +$71 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 22 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 22 $26 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 22 $232 +$42 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 22 $73 +$14 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 22 $103 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 22 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 22 $21 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 22 $52 +$20 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 22 $104 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 22 $62 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 22 $52 +$19 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 22 $31 +$12 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 22 $217 +$16 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $106 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $17 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $104 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $33 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $149 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2217 history records