Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb720…2b11
crypto · 453 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,316 -79%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,279 · open −$37
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$46
Realized−$9,279
Unrealized−$37
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses222 / 660
Open positions2
Markets (closed)882 / 453
History coverage2d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day1248.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 882 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,289
7 days−$9,279
14 days−$9,279
30 days−$9,279
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 32¢ 98¢ $9 $28 +$19 (+204%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 39¢ 94¢ $6 $14 +$8 (+140%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 54¢ $26 $3 −$24 (-90%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 55¢ $14 $1 −$13 (-95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 55¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 18¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 26¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 37¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 52¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 46¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 47¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 52¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 55¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 52¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 60¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 48¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 22¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 54¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 53¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 53¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$250
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-57.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 882 -53.3% -57.8% 25% 20% -50.7%
≤30d 882 -53.3% -57.8% 25% 20% -50.7%
≤90d 882 -53.3% -57.8% 25% 20% -50.7%
all 882 -53.3% -57.8% 25% 20% -50.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1248.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.8% 20% -50.7%
10% ← realistic here -61.8% 16% -55.4%
15% -65.5% 12% -59.7%
20% -68.9% 7% -63.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.77 · official $51.58 · 3500 history records