Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb71e…b131
crypto · 180 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$342 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$588 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Net worth$0
Realized−$588
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses50 / 130
Open positions0
Markets (closed)180 / 180
History coverage83d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 180 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$179
7 days−$384
14 days−$384
30 days−$384
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 18¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 44¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 11¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 31¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 15¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 55¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 47¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 19¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 11¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 10¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 26¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 14¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 21¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 27¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 27¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 33¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 17¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 13¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 25¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 41¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 28¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 17¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$28 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$47 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $61 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $58 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $116 +$32 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$70 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 08 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 08 $131 −$25 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 08 $53 +$111 +210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$25 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$588
politics 3% +$8
other 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $34 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $60 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $32 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $52 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $88 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $34 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-42.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -28.9% -35.7% 32% 26% -39.1%
≤30d 57 -28.9% -35.7% 32% 26% -39.1%
≤90d 180 -36.2% -42.2% 28% 26% -39.2%
all 180 -36.2% -42.2% 28% 26% -39.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -42.2% 26% -39.2%
10% -47.8% 24% -45.0%
15% -52.8% 24% -50.3%
20% -57.4% 23% -55.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 283 history records