Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb71b…9d7a
crypto · 242 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses110 / 132
Open positions0
Markets (closed)242 / 242
History coverage17d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days−$0
14 days−$7
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$10 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +37%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$3 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -86%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -59%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$5 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $15 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $24 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $13 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -8.1% -16.9% 46% 41% -9.6%
≤30d 242 -5.5% -14.5% 45% 43% -10.8%
≤90d 242 -5.5% -14.5% 45% 43% -10.8%
all 242 -5.5% -14.5% 45% 43% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 43% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 36% -19.3%
15% -30.2% 32% -27.1%
20% -37.0% 25% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 511 history records