Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:45:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb71a…a3ca
crypto · 401 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$135 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$132 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$132
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses167 / 233
Open positions1
Markets (closed)400 / 401
History coverage19d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day27.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days−$170
14 days−$132
30 days−$132
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 353 -9.6% -18.2% 42% 42% -23.8%
≤30d 400 -9.7% -18.3% 42% 41% -19.1%
≤90d 400 -9.7% -18.3% 42% 41% -19.1%
all 400 -9.7% -18.3% 42% 41% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 41% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 40% -26.9%
15% -33.3% 34% -33.9%
20% -39.8% 28% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.03 (match) · 724 history records