Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:42:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb718…67e4
sports · 14 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$53 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$55 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$66
Realized+$55
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses4 / 6
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions4
Markets (closed)10 / 14
History coverage1d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day27.3
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 4 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$55
7 days+$55
14 days+$55
30 days+$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $38 $37 −$1 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Spain (-4.5) Spain 19¢ 18¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$2 -30%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $66 +$68 +103%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $18 +$20 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $45 −$12 -26%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $12 +$5 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10 −$6 -59%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $35 −$11 -30%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 −$6 -53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% +$46
other 46% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 3¢ $0 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $5 14m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $4 45m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $5 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 91¢ $134 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 17¢ $9 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 52¢ $20 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $30 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $6 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $38 5h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 72¢ $7 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 49¢ $5 8h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 80¢ $25 12h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 80¢ $25 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $9 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 80¢ $17 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 56¢ $12 15h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 66¢ $12 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $18 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 26¢ $5 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 27¢ $4 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 34¢ $5 17h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 38¢ $24 17h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 36¢ $5 19h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 19h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 68¢ $30 26h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $20 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 26h
Spread: Spain (-4.5) BUY Spain 19¢ $10 29h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 7¢ $0 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -3.1% -12.4% 40% 40% +14.8%
≤30d 10 -3.1% -12.4% 40% 40% +14.8%
≤90d 10 -3.1% -12.4% 40% 40% +14.8%
all 10 -3.1% -12.4% 40% 40% +14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 40% +14.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 40% +3.9%
15% -28.4% 40% -6.2%
20% -35.4% 20% -15.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.93 · official $65.93 (match) · 38 history records