trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 10% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 24% | 0% | -8.6% |
| all | 24 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 25% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.7% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -29.2% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -36.1% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -42.3% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 23¢ | 10¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-59%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 17 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $11 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $45 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $35 | +$2 | +4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 08 | $43 | −$5 | -12% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 26 | $22 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the | Apr 24 | $326 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 23 | $291 | +$23 | +8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 21 | $137 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Apr 11 | $270 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 11 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 11 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Apr 10 | $6 | −$3 | -44% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 10 | $273 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 10 | $183 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Apr 01 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on February 25? | Mar 20 | $7 | −$6 | -87% |
| UMBC vs. UMass Lowell | Feb 25 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28? | Feb 25 | $6 | +$1 | +8% |