Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:18:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B7 0xb701…1994 crypto 1455 markets active 0h ago coverage 79d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$992 (+5%) realized −$129 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate76%1103W / 352L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day23.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$113
14 days−$140
30 days−$270
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$102
weather 1% −$15
sports 0% −$6
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 -5.7% -14.6% 81% 6% -15.2%
≤30d 756 -2.3% -11.6% 90% 7% -11.8%
≤90d 1455 +2.4% -7.4% 76% 30% -10.1%
all 1455 +2.4% -7.4% 76% 30% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover23.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 30% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 24% -18.7%
15% -24.3% 19% -26.6%
20% -31.8% 16% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$10 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

79d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1103 / 352
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1455 / 1455
History coverage79d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day23.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1455 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -54%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $8 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records