Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb700…224a
sports · 1134 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$781 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$670 · open −$111
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$394
Realized−$670
Unrealized−$111
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses423 / 543
Est. fees paid−$46
Open positions168
Markets (closed)966 / 1134
History coverage46d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day48.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 168 History 966 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$37
7 days−$164
14 days−$485
30 days−$665
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $50 $24 −$26 (-52%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 18¢ 80¢ $5 $22 +$17 (+347%)
US recession by end of 2026? Yes 23¢ 18¢ $16 $13 −$3 (-18%)
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? Yes 48¢ 93¢ $6 $12 +$6 (+95%)
Bouzkova vs. Oliynykova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 96¢ 49¢ $22 $12 −$11 (-49%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 38¢ 54¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+42%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-17%)
PGA Tour: Player to Record Albatross by June 30, 2026? Yes 90¢ 48¢ $16 $9 −$7 (-46%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 34¢ 34¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+1%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes 23¢ 18¢ $11 $8 −$3 (-25%)
Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026? Yes 61¢ 43¢ $11 $8 −$3 (-29%)
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? Yes 28¢ 15¢ $13 $7 −$6 (-46%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 42¢ 38¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-9%)
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? Yes 69¢ 78¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+12%)
Will Lee Hodges finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 4¢ 18¢ $2 $6 +$5 (+319%)
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes 25¢ 22¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-12%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 16¢ 19¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 44¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? Yes 34¢ 22¢ $7 $4 −$2 (-35%)
Will Mitch Marner lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? No 28¢ 68¢ $2 $4 +$3 (+145%)
ITF Changwon: Dayeon Back vs Su Jeong Jang Dayeon Back 51¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026? Yes 16¢ 6¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-59%)
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? Yes 35¢ 22¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-38%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $2 +$3 +216%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Hanfmann/Struff vs Kirkov/Miedler Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Set Handicap: Peliwo (-1.5) vs Ponchet (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $2 +$2 +152%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $2 +$4 +226%
Set Handicap: Romano (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic Jun 12 $2 +$2 +119%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $2 +$2 +129%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $2 +$2 +134%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $2 +$1 +93%
Set 1 Winner: Tan vs Tararudee Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova Jun 12 $2 +$2 +109%
Set Handicap: Blanch (-1.5) vs Rocha (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Set Handicap: Vidmanova (-1.5) vs Stefanini (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$2 +140%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Cirstea vs. Raducanu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $2 +$3 +165%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $2 +$3 +197%
Nuno Borges vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +140%
Set Handicap: Prozorova (-1.5) vs Kraus (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$3 +180%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Medvedev vs. Boogaard: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Set Handicap: Stoiana (-1.5) vs Sun (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Set Handicap: Dart (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Marie Bouzkova vs. Donna Vekic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Completed Match: Lehecka/Moutet vs Hanfmann/Struff Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Daniil Medvedev vs. Thijs Boogaard: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +109%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Dusan Lajovic vs. Oriol Roca Batalla: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Set Handicap: Lajovic (-1.5) vs Batalla (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Lehecka/Moutet vs Hanfmann/Struff Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Ilkley (Doubles): Corley/Ngounoue vs Brooks/Rajecki Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ilkley (Doubles): Bayldon/Schoolkate vs Bass/Duncan Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open (Doubles): Gille/Verbeek vs Pavlasek/Rikl Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open (Doubles): Loof/Veldheer vs Arends/Pel Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Martin Landaluce vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Snigur (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$385
other 17% −$293
politics 3% −$41
crypto 2% −$34
world 0% −$12
economics 0% −$3
weather 0% −$11
culture 0% −$2
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Northampton Saints win? BUY Yes 99¢ $2 3m
Ilkley (Doubles): Fruhvirtova/Korneeva vs Christie/Silva BUY Fruhvirtova/Korneeva 26¢ $2 13m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 30¢ $2 22m
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 31m
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY Yes 51¢ $2 32m
Will Bad Bunny attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 38m
Set Handicap: Peliwo (-1.5) vs Ponchet (+1.5) BUY Peliwo 80¢ $2 50m
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 1h
Set Handicap: Romano (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5) BUY Romano 99¢ $2 1h
Spurs vs. Knicks: Odd/Even Score BUY Odd 76¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 30¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Hanfmann/Struff vs Kirkov/Miedler BUY Hanfmann/Struff 83¢ $2 1h
Kaitlin Quevedo vs. Laura Samson: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 41¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Tristan Schoolkate 28¢ $2 2h
Will John Vanderlaan finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY Yes 26¢ $2 2h
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 45¢ $2 3h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 39¢ $2 3h
Set Handicap: Blanch (-1.5) vs Rocha (+1.5) BUY Blanch 0¢ $2 3h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 45¢ $2 3h
Will Samuel L. Jackson attend UFC Freedom 250? BUY Yes 43¢ $2 4h
Will Ivan Barbashev score the most goals in a single game during the 2 BUY Yes 31¢ $2 4h
Set 1 Winner: Tan vs Tararudee BUY Tan 91¢ $2 4h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 51¢ $2 4h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Raul Brancaccio 19¢ $2 4h
Set Handicap: Quevedo (-1.5) vs Samson (+1.5) BUY Quevedo 32¢ $2 5h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 31¢ $2 5h
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova BUY Jovic 47¢ $2 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 43¢ $2 5h
Will Lee Hodges finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 5h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 34¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-30.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 302 -29.7% -36.4% 43% 28% -33.2%
≤30d 941 -23.2% -30.5% 44% 33% -23.0%
≤90d 966 -23.0% -30.3% 44% 33% -22.9%
all 966 -23.0% -30.3% 44% 33% -22.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.3% 33% -22.9%
10% ← realistic here -37.0% 29% -30.3%
15% -43.1% 26% -37.1%
20% -48.7% 23% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $393.69 · official $393.70 (match) · 3226 history records