Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:59:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6f7…7b0b
sports · 93 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$89
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses32 / 38
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions23
Markets (closed)70 / 93
History coverage536d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 23 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days+$20
14 days+$28
30 days+$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No 25¢ 31¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+23%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No 10¢ 16¢ $5 $9 +$3 (+63%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 57¢ 64¢ $6 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 75¢ 78¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr. Vinicius 83¢ 95¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes 40¢ 48¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 55¢ 58¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 56¢ 60¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+8%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-19%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 22¢ 19¢ $5 $5 −$1 (-15%)
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? Yes 36¢ 34¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 65¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 89¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? No 39¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-30%)
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? OpenAI 8¢ 13¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+59%)
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card) Michael Aswell 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$12 +983%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $6 −$2 -40%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 13 $3 $0 -18%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -92%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $4 $0 -11%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Jun 11 $1 $0 -35%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 10 $3 $0 -2%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 10 $1 $0 -2%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? Jun 10 $1 $0 -2%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 08 $6 +$2 +30%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Iran closes its airspace by July 31? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 07 $1 +$1 +56%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$11 +383%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $6 +$1 +11%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $1 $0 +7%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $3 +$2 +57%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $7 −$7 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $4 +$1 +27%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 06 $4 +$16 +400%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1 +$1 +97%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $4 +$6 +150%
Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election? Jun 05 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3 +$2 +60%
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5? Jun 05 $3 −$2 -54%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $6 +$4 +79%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $4 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 4? Jun 04 $1 $0 -96%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $4 +$11 +244%
Wuxi: Fajing Sun vs Rio Noguchi May 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Fabian Marozsan vs Vit Kopriva May 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Madrid: Yue Yuan vs Marina Bassols Ribera Apr 09 $15 −$15 -99%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08? Apr 09 $3 +$4 +117%
Lightning vs. Kraken Mar 18 $15 −$15 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Ca Mar 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Australian Open Men's: Martin Landaluce vs Stefano Travaglia Jan 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Rangers (-1.5) Jan 14 $1 +$1 +45%
Jets vs. Patriots Dec 16 $3 $0 +6%
Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on O Nov 14 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% −$11
politics 26% −$10
other 15% +$2
world 3% −$3
finance 0% −$3
tech 0% +$1
culture 0% $0
crypto 0% −$2
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 BUY Yes 35¢ $1 10m
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 BUY Yes 36¢ $3 33m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 89¢ $13 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 8¢ $1 1h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 40¢ $1 3h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 41¢ $2 3h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 4h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 4h
World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr. BUY Vinicius 96¢ $1 4h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 5h
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? BUY OpenAI 8¢ $0 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 1¢ $1 5h
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 29h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 55¢ $3 35h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 35h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 35h
Iran leadership change by December 31? BUY No 77¢ $2 35h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 35h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 36h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 36h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 36h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 36h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? BUY No 16¢ $2 36h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 36h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 36h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? BUY No 34¢ $2 36h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 10¢ $4 36h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? BUY No 34¢ $3 37h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +32.6% +20.0% 41% 38% +14.5%
≤30d 40 +27.7% +15.6% 42% 40% +15.1%
≤90d 46 +15.8% +4.8% 39% 37% -21.5%
all 70 +12.7% +2.0% 46% 34% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.0% 34% -10.7%
10% -7.8% 29% -19.2%
15% -16.7% 21% -27.0%
20% -24.8% 17% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.49 · official $89.71 (match) · 207 history records