Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:09:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
B6 0xb6f0…32e7 crypto 1590 markets active 2h ago coverage 19d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (82 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$250 (-3%) realized −$250 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +16% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate60%810W / 539L
Drawdown59%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day82.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$138
7 days+$300
14 days+$579
30 days+$674
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$674
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (82 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 345 +25.5% +13.6% 64% 64% +9.4%
≤30d 1349 +15.7% +4.7% 60% 60% -0.5%
≤90d 1349 +15.7% +4.7% 60% 60% -0.5%
all 1349 +15.7% +4.7% 60% 60% -0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover82.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.7% 60% -0.5%
10% ← realistic here -5.3% 59% -10.0%
15% -14.5% 57% -18.7%
20% -22.8% 51% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +10% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +16% · $-wt +10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late +20% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.82 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.24 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$250
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses810 / 539
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1349 / 1590
History coverage19d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day82.4
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1349 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$11 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$28 +266%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$11 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$9 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$5 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$4 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$15 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$14 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$4 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$15 +149%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$14 +131%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$15 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$4 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $8 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2452 history records