Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:40:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6ec…b667
other · 133 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$257 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$252 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Net worth$108
Realized+$252
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses48 / 73
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions12
Markets (closed)121 / 133
History coverage86d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 12 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$81
14 days+$163
30 days+$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $22 $22 −$0 (-1%)
Will Colombia finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 50¢ 48¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-4%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-10%)
Will Moisés Caicedo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 32¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+71%)
Will Gabriel Magalhães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 22¢ 31¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+41%)
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 47¢ 52¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 49¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 40¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 52¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 46¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? No 41¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? Yes 25¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 52¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 39¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 50¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 Over 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? Yes 26¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5 Over 29¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $6 −$1 -12%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$16 +105%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $10 −$4 -36%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $15 +$73 +475%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $5 +$6 +121%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Denmark leading at halftime? Jun 07 $8 +$11 +139%
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $15 −$15 -98%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $125 +$97 +78%
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $5 +$5 +101%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $10 +$10 +97%
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record? May 24 $5 +$6 +109%
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? May 24 $6 −$6 -98%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $11 −$11 -99%
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 May 23 $10 +$8 +79%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $11 +$9 +82%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) May 23 $20 +$20 +97%
Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $31 −$31 -99%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score May 20 $72 −$71 -98%
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5 May 18 $57 +$45 +79%
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 0 Nottingham Forest FC? May 17 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? May 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? May 16 $26 −$25 -97%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $59 +$22 +38%
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? May 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $47 +$57 +121%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 May 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? May 12 $10 +$19 +189%
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 10 $11 −$11 -98%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? May 10 $3 +$7 +234%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score May 10 $13 +$10 +74%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $28 −$27 -98%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $15 −$15 -98%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $11 +$41 +388%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) May 10 $113 +$19 +17%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? May 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end? May 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? May 09 $6 −$5 -98%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $11 −$11 -99%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? May 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score May 05 $25 −$25 -98%
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? May 04 $10 +$36 +351%
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5 May 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% +$59
sports 48% +$217
crypto 1% $0
world 1% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 32¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $31 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $10 2h
Will Colombia finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Grou BUY Yes 50¢ $16 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $15 14h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $11 16h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 26¢ $7 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 39¢ $10 34h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $88 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 14¢ $15 2d
Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $11 5d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 41¢ $10 5d
Denmark leading at halftime? SELL Yes 100¢ $19 5d
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 5d
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 5d
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 5d
Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 44¢ $5 5d
Denmark leading at halftime? BUY Yes 41¢ $8 5d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 5d
Will Gabriel Magalhães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 5d
Will Moisés Caicedo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 5d
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 5d
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 5d
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 54¢ $22 5d
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 35¢ $6 5d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 5d
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 12d
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 12d
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31? BUY Yes 47¢ $15 12d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 99¢ $222 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +76.6% +59.8% 56% 56% +62.9%
≤30d 31 +4.8% -5.2% 45% 45% +4.3%
≤90d 121 -4.0% -13.1% 40% 40% +3.4%
all 121 -4.0% -13.1% 40% 40% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 40% +3.4%
10% -21.5% 39% -6.5%
15% -29.0% 39% -15.5%
20% -36.0% 38% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $107.55 · official $107.55 (match) · 226 history records