Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:52:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6eb…2d3d
crypto · 557 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$12 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$121 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$121
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses245 / 312
Open positions0
Markets (closed)557 / 557
History coverage147d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 557 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1) Netherlands 1¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +9%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$100
sports 6% −$38
politics 2% −$29
other 0% +$49
culture 0% −$4
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +25.7% +13.8% 59% 33% -21.6%
≤30d 61 +25.7% +13.8% 59% 33% -21.6%
≤90d 61 +25.7% +13.8% 59% 33% -21.6%
all 557 -1.1% -10.5% 44% 39% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 39% -14.6%
10% -19.1% 32% -22.8%
15% -26.9% 24% -30.2%
20% -34.1% 20% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3098 history records