Wallet analysis

2026-06-30T01:37:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B6 0xb6e5…a1d5 crypto 1097 markets active 1h ago coverage 84d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 84d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$66 (+0%) realized +$66 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1085W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$152per market
Trades / day28.1pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$553
7 days−$483
14 days−$396
30 days−$136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$537
other 2% −$166
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -26.9% -33.9% 72% 0% -14.8%
≤30d 147 -5.8% -14.7% 93% 1% -9.8%
≤90d 1107 +0.9% -8.7% 98% 1% -9.6%
all 1107 +0.9% -8.7% 98% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 1% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -25.4% 0% -26.2%
20% -32.7% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$94 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

84d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1085 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1107 / 1097
History coverage84d ⚠
Avg bet$152
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1107 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 30 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 30 $96 −$96 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 30 $76 −$76 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 30 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 30 $75 −$75 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 30 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 30 $99 −$99 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 30 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 30 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 29 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 29 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 29 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 28 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 28 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 28 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 28 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 27 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 27 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 27 $288 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 27 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 26 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 26 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 25 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 24 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $290 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 22 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 22 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 22 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 21 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 21 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 21 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 20 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $197 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 18 $297 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $297 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $297 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $277 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $297 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $288 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $196 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $101 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $297 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $78 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $129 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $63 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $297 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $297 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $62 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $211 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $178 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $112 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.21 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records