trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5 | Under | 52¢ | 0¢ | $1,272 | $0 | −$1,272 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Up | 44¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Down | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | Under | 51¢ | 0¢ | $3,000 | $0 | −$3,000 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Up | 29¢ | 0¢ | $114 | $0 | −$114 (-100%) |
| Trail Blazers vs. 76ers | Trail Blazers | 74¢ | 0¢ | $682 | $0 | −$682 (-100%) |
| Wizards vs. Jazz | Jazz | 62¢ | 0¢ | $1,312 | $0 | −$1,312 (-100%) |
| Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5) | Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Stars vs. Wild | Stars | 55¢ | 0¢ | $534 | $0 | −$534 (-100%) |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 12¢ | 0¢ | $779 | $0 | −$779 (-100%) |
| Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 57¢ | 0¢ | $6,000 | $0 | −$6,000 (-100%) |
| Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5 | Over | 57¢ | 0¢ | $149 | $0 | −$149 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Heat | Heat | 57¢ | 0¢ | $681 | $0 | −$681 (-100%) |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $19,014 | $0 | −$19,014 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Down | 68¢ | 0¢ | $598 | $0 | −$598 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Up | 71¢ | 0¢ | $271 | $0 | −$271 (-100%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | Over | 52¢ | 0¢ | $5,000 | $0 | −$5,000 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | Over | 50¢ | 0¢ | $36,296 | $0 | −$36,296 (-100%) |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5 | Over | 50¢ | 0¢ | $1,223 | $0 | −$1,223 (-100%) |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $18,000 | $0 | −$18,000 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Thunder | 51¢ | 0¢ | $5,000 | $0 | −$5,000 (-100%) |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | Raptors | 51¢ | 0¢ | $88,990 | $0 | −$88,990 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 | Over | 54¢ | 0¢ | $251,391 | $0 | −$251,391 (-100%) |
| New York Yankees vs. Athletics | New York Yankees | 59¢ | 0¢ | $14,995 | $0 | −$14,995 (-100%) |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) | Cavaliers | 51¢ | 0¢ | $1,247 | $0 | −$1,247 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | −$9 | -91% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Jun 12 | $0 | −$5 | -3507% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Jun 12 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | −$14 | -143% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$4 | -757% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | Jun 12 | $319 | −$319 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | Jun 12 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | Jun 12 | $0 | −$9 | -1930% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Jun 09 | $24,921 | −$24,532 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $99,659 | +$164,694 | +165% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 02 | $19,242 | −$19,014 | -99% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds | May 31 | $5,070 | +$4,363 | +86% |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) | May 31 | $5,073 | +$4,730 | +93% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | May 30 | $57,287 | −$56,528 | -99% |
| New York Yankees vs. Athletics | May 30 | $15,179 | −$14,995 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | May 30 | $3,044 | −$3,000 | -99% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners | May 30 | $48,558 | +$37,023 | +76% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | May 29 | $5,079 | +$5,559 | +109% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox | May 29 | $18,284 | +$19,728 | +108% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 28 | $34,050 | −$33,666 | -99% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | May 28 | $5,078 | −$260 | -5% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | May 28 | $5,072 | −$391 | -8% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 | May 28 | $10,152 | −$10,000 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | May 28 | $5,073 | −$5,000 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 | May 28 | $5,072 | −$5,000 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 28 | $15,265 | −$15,000 | -98% |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | May 28 | $10,159 | +$11,118 | +109% |
| New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals | May 28 | $20,246 | +$13,652 | +67% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 28 | $22,972 | +$15,491 | +67% |
| Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers | May 27 | $6,077 | −$6,000 | -99% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox | May 27 | $10,154 | −$10,000 | -98% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets | May 27 | $15,234 | −$15,000 | -98% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox | May 27 | $10,147 | −$10,000 | -99% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | May 27 | $5,072 | −$5,000 | -99% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 27 | $799,521 | +$326,817 | +41% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 | May 24 | $254,844 | −$251,391 | -99% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | May 24 | $10,144 | +$9,087 | +90% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels | May 24 | $17,219 | −$13,223 | -77% |
| Athletics vs. San Diego Padres | May 24 | $18,254 | −$16,550 | -91% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | May 24 | $3,691 | +$2,594 | +70% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $20,330 | +$24,114 | +119% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5 | May 23 | $30,453 | −$30,000 | -98% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | May 22 | $12,153 | +$8,687 | +72% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | May 22 | $14,140 | +$6,836 | +48% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 22 | $101,624 | +$102,646 | +101% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | May 21 | $36,840 | −$36,296 | -98% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | May 21 | $12,191 | −$12,000 | -98% |
| Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels | May 21 | $5,069 | −$5,000 | -99% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | BUY Knicks | 47¢ | $24,921 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 37¢ | $99,659 | 8d |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 60¢ | $19,242 | 9d |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers | 56¢ | $16,747 | 12d |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers | 55¢ | $16,475 | 12d |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers | 55¢ | $13,930 | 12d |
| New York Yankees vs. Athletics | BUY New York Yankees | 59¢ | $15,179 | 12d |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY Atlanta Braves | 53¢ | $5,070 | 12d |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers | 55¢ | $10,135 | 12d |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) | BUY Spurs | 51¢ | $5,073 | 12d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | BUY Under | 51¢ | $3,044 | 12d |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY Seattle Mariners | 56¢ | $48,558 | 13d |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY Pittsburgh Pirates | 62¢ | $13,822 | 14d |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | SELL Hurricanes | 47¢ | $4,818 | 14d |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | SELL Under | 49¢ | $4,682 | 14d |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | BUY Hurricanes | 48¢ | $5,078 | 14d |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | BUY Under | 52¢ | $5,072 | 14d |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY Toronto Blue Jays | 47¢ | $5,079 | 14d |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 | BUY Under | 49¢ | $10,152 | 14d |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY Pittsburgh Pirates | 62¢ | $20,228 | 14d |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | BUY Thunder | 51¢ | $5,073 | 14d |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 | BUY Over | 52¢ | $5,072 | 14d |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY Thunder | 41¢ | $15,265 | 14d |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY Atlanta Braves | 50¢ | $5,075 | 14d |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY Atlanta Braves | 46¢ | $8,130 | 14d |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY Atlanta Braves | 47¢ | $5,079 | 14d |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BUY Hurricanes | 59¢ | $7,788 | 15d |
| Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers | BUY Texas Rangers | 57¢ | $6,077 | 15d |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY Atlanta Braves | 49¢ | $10,154 | 15d |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY New York Yankees | 47¢ | $10,159 | 15d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -99.2% | -99.3% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 54 | -28.2% | -35.1% | 35% | 35% | +6.1% |
| ≤90d | 188 | -10.9% | -19.3% | 46% | 46% | +5.1% |
| all | 287 | -17.7% | -25.5% | 42% | 37% | +4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -25.5% | 37% | +4.9% |
| 10% | -32.7% | 34% | -5.1% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -39.2% | 30% | -14.3% |
| 20% | -45.1% | 24% | -22.7% |