Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6ce…7a7d
sports · 127 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$25,934 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20,918 · open +$5,583
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41,342
Realized+$20,918
Unrealized+$5,583
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses73 / 40
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$9,275
Open positions13
Markets (closed)113 / 127
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5,814
Trades / day628.1
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 13 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17,057
7 days+$20,918
14 days+$20,918
30 days+$20,918
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 51¢ 100¢ $3,642 $7,082 +$3,440 (+94%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 29¢ 73¢ $2,281 $5,726 +$3,445 (+151%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 71¢ 100¢ $3,351 $4,718 +$1,366 (+41%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 66¢ 100¢ $2,736 $4,173 +$1,438 (+53%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 78¢ 100¢ $3,175 $4,069 +$894 (+28%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Paper Rex 67¢ 100¢ $2,497 $3,731 +$1,234 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 38¢ 27¢ $3,813 $2,741 −$1,072 (-28%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 73¢ 72¢ $2,200 $2,168 −$32 (-1%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Paper Rex 57¢ 100¢ $1,005 $1,749 +$744 (+74%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 31¢ 24¢ $1,832 $1,411 −$421 (-23%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 65¢ 70¢ $976 $1,058 +$83 (+8%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 32¢ 48¢ $653 $954 +$301 (+46%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 33¢ 30¢ $991 $886 −$105 (-11%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 57¢ 52¢ $572 $527 −$45 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 20¢ 20¢ $300 $308 +$8 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 82¢ 76¢ $42 $39 −$3 (-7%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 29¢ 0¢ $1,352 $2 −$1,350 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 26¢ 0¢ $796 $0 −$796 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 30¢ 0¢ $501 $0 −$501 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ 0¢ $287 $0 −$287 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 28¢ 0¢ $351 $0 −$351 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 43¢ 0¢ $1,862 $0 −$1,862 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,996 −$50 -1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,380 +$3,678 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $24,621 −$2,614 -11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $7,171 +$2,460 +34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10,278 +$2,090 +20%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3,738 +$130 +4%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,345 −$1,745 -52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $14,148 +$2,004 +14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $189 +$33 +17%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$7 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,086 +$2,518 +82%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,911 +$1,883 +27%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,544 +$2,078 +38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,970 +$715 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,731 −$1,068 -16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,310 +$938 +28%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30,462 −$6,040 -20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $667 −$425 -64%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12,778 +$1,072 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,835 +$685 +37%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $512 −$501 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $14 +$5 +34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $846 +$299 +35%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7,922 +$1,655 +21%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4,963 +$1,365 +28%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $8,983 −$4,406 -49%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,262 +$2,525 +59%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4,492 +$169 +4%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $205 +$184 +90%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $9,651 +$1,393 +14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $8,791 +$387 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $813 −$796 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,346 +$1,287 +55%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6,497 +$1,705 +26%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $351 −$351 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,918 +$1,458 +37%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $39 +$18 +46%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $5,431 −$224 -4%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $3,450 +$2,377 +69%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $2,013 −$357 -18%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $6,745 +$1,076 +16%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4,709 +$176 +4%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5,734 −$735 -13%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $839 +$474 +56%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $16,819 −$6,672 -40%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $769 +$224 +29%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5,789 +$4,507 +78%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $2,539 +$555 +22%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $530 −$524 -99%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2,996 −$259 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$26,501
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 35¢ $536 0m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $505 1m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 33¢ $338 1m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $321 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 57¢ $580 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 10¢ $300 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 81¢ $1,223 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 21¢ $645 9m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $73 10m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $981 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 37¢ $567 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $460 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $460 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $976 12m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 35¢ $320 12m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 25¢ $384 12m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $3 13m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $2 13m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $20 13m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $113 13m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $17 13m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 26¢ $124 13m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 80¢ $80 15m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 80¢ $40 15m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 80¢ $4 15m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 80¢ $280 15m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 77¢ $1,156 16m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $82 16m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 20¢ $307 18m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 82¢ $42 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 +8.2% -2.1% 65% 53% -6.5%
≤30d 113 +8.2% -2.1% 65% 53% -6.5%
≤90d 113 +8.2% -2.1% 65% 53% -6.5%
all 113 +8.2% -2.1% 65% 53% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover628.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.1% 53% -6.5%
10% -11.5% 38% -15.5%
15% ← realistic here -20.0% 26% -23.7%
20% -27.9% 13% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41,341.70 · official $41,341.70 (match) · 3500 history records