trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 40% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 38% | 8% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -1.7% | -11.1% | 29% | 6% | -9.9% |
| all | 26 | -8.4% | -17.2% | 35% | 4% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.2% | 4% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -25.1% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -32.3% | 0% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -39.0% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 21 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 27 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 26 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 26 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $79 | +$4 | +5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $5 | −$2 | -28% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 24 | $35 | −$6 | -18% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $13 | +$1 | +12% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 23 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 21 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 20 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 19 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 18 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 27 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | May 24 | $6 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 23 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 28? | Mar 04 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Inter Milan Beat Napoli? | Mar 04 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Bank of England rate cut in March meeting? | Mar 01 | $7 | $0 | +0% |