Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B6
0xb6bd…9b7e
crypto · 417 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$519 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$514 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized+$514
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses222 / 194
Open positions1
Markets (closed)416 / 417
History coverage1d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day2125.0
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 416 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$514
7 days+$514
14 days+$514
30 days+$514
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $16 $17 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 33¢ 48¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $60 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $94 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $114 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $83 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$13 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$14 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $115 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$11 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$15 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $71 +$14 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $178 −$23 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$14 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $187 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $157 +$41 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$8 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $92 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $203 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $142 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $139 −$17 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$18 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $77 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$519
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $27 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $16 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $21 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $19 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $17 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $14 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $18 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $19 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $28 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $9 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $26 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $6 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 416 +1.7% -7.9% 53% 37% -7.6%
≤30d 416 +1.7% -7.9% 53% 37% -7.6%
≤90d 416 +1.7% -7.9% 53% 37% -7.6%
all 416 +1.7% -7.9% 53% 37% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2125.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 37% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 24% -16.4%
15% -24.8% 17% -24.5%
20% -32.2% 13% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.55 · official $31.09 (match) · 3500 history records