Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:18:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B6 0xb6b8…a58a crypto 1121 markets active 5d ago coverage 44d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 43d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$144 (-2%) realized −$144 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate53%593W / 528L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day55.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$3
14 days−$23
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$158
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 +4.0% -5.9% 40% 28% -9.4%
≤30d 156 -6.3% -15.2% 38% 26% -10.0%
≤90d 1121 -2.5% -11.8% 53% 32% -11.8%
all 1121 -2.5% -11.8% 53% 32% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 32% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 24% -20.2%
15% -28.0% 18% -28.0%
20% -35.0% 14% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$144
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses593 / 528
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1121 / 1121
History coverage44d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day55.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1121 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$7 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $24 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $40 −$6 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $27 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $33 −$8 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$19 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $30 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records