trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +6.9% | -3.3% | 56% | 11% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 58% | 8% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +4.7% | -5.3% | 58% | 8% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | +7.6% | -2.7% | 63% | 7% | -5.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.7% | 7% | -5.2% |
| 10% | -12.0% | 7% | -14.3% |
| 15% | -20.5% | 7% | -22.6% |
| 20% | -28.3% | 7% | -30.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $59 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $115 | +$1 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 14 | $50 | −$4 | -7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $48 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $105 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 11 | $24 | $0 | -2% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $1 | +$1 | +68% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $47 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $6 | $0 | -8% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 08 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 | Jun 06 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Ko | Jun 05 | $56 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 03 | $6 | −$3 | -47% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | Jun 03 | $23 | +$42 | +178% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | May 31 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Gujarat Titans win the 2025 Indian Premier League? | May 30 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Pres | May 29 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? | May 28 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | May 26 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%? | May 25 | $22 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | May 23 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese | May 20 | $22 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more? | May 18 | $23 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 15 | $24 | $0 | +0% |