Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:45:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B6 0xb6af…1b6c crypto 1008 markets active 16h ago coverage 63d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$216 (-1%) realized −$216 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate87%875W / 133L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day22.2pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit69%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$80
7 days−$157
14 days−$157
30 days−$195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 65% −$319
other 35% +$10
sports 0% +$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 408 -0.9% -10.3% 95% 3% -10.6%
≤30d 962 -1.7% -11.1% 90% 5% -10.5%
≤90d 1008 -3.6% -12.8% 87% 6% -10.7%
all 1008 -3.6% -12.8% 87% 6% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 6% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 3% -19.3%
15% -28.8% 3% -27.1%
20% -35.7% 2% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

63d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$216
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses875 / 133
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1008 / 1008
History coverage63d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day22.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1008 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2312 history records